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Toby Walsh for the Conversation From a dangerous new bioweapon to total societal breakdown, is a ‘superintelligent’ AI capable of wiping out humanity? Earlier this month, artificial intelligence researcher Jacob Coxon resigned from Anthropic after just four months. In an announcement on X, he stated: “The people building AI earnestly believe that it could kill us all by the end of the decade.” A senior member of Anthropic’s staff, Evan Hubinger, actually agreed with Coxon, adding he personally thinks the chance of this happening in the next decade is more than 10%. Understandably, these statements made waves. There’s now lots of talk about slowing down AI research and increasing “ human control ” over the technology. But how exactly might AI kill us all? There’s no shortage of fantastical scenarios, and most of them involve the concept of “superintelligent” AI – that is, AI that’s more capable than humans. I’ve distilled these scenarios down to the top five, ordering them roughly f...

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